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Paper → data-source inventory (repoint-to-dex campaign)

Built 2026-07-07. Read-only sweep of the 19 shipped papers (web/src/pages/articles/*.astro) mapping each to the data sources it draws from, tagging each source DEXED (backs an existing dex kind) or UNDEXED. Purpose: sequence the "papers source their data from a dex" standardization.

Three buckets, per the plan:

  1. Already dexed — repoint is near-pure plumbing.
  2. Undexed but dexable — dex the source first, then repoint.
  3. Undexed and not dexable — model output or not dex-shaped; needs a substitute-or-accept call.

Fully-dexed papers (bucket 1 — easy repoint pilots, no new dex needed)

Every source already backs a dex:

  • cascadia-swarm-apr2026 — usgs_earthquake [eq]
  • reno-earthquake-swarm — usgs_earthquake [eq] (reuses cascadia workspace)
  • kermadec-doublet-apr2026 — usgs_earthquake [eq]
  • sanriku-m66-may2026 — usgs_earthquake [eq]
  • lunar-syzygy-seismicity — usgs_earthquake [eq] (lunar phase = offline ephemeris, not a source)
  • earthquake-lights-104-years — usgs_earthquake [eq] + nuforc [nuforc]
  • tornado-alley-east — spc_tornado_history [tor]
  • fireball-surge-2026 — CNEOS fireballs [neo]

8 of 19. All seismic, plus tornado-alley and the CNEOS fireball paper.

Undexed-source rollup (bucket 2/3 — sorted by leverage)

The unit of work is the SOURCE. One dex can repoint many papers.

  • WSPR / wsprnet (wspr.live) — 6 papers (corrected 2026-07-07 from 8; sky-anomalies uses NUFORC not WSPR, and solar-watch-april-2026 only references a WSPR number from another paper, it analyzes none): wspr-aircraft-detection, wspr-solar-cycle-bug, wspr-tornado-precursor, wspr-tornado-v2-historical, wspr-tornado-v3-general, wspr-tornado-v4-decoupled. MEASURED. Biggest single unlock. SHAPE SETTLED 2026-07-07 (Mike): two spot structures, no station Locationdex (every spot self-carries tx/rx lat/lon in the raw). (1) wspr_spot_census month-grain Yeardex — BUILT (data/year_storehouse/, 221 month slots over the 200 GB raw on /mnt/ursa; carry-both: 5 MB day×band aggregate as working surface + raw partition as archive pointer). Serves wspr-solar-cycle-bug. (2) wspr_event_window event-window Eventdex — BUILT (data/event_storehouse/wspr_event_window/, spine-parquet; 65 slots = 17 outbreaks + 44 controls
    • 3 aircraft corridors + 1 storm-season, deduped across papers; slot = a paper's event window, carve-both: cell×15min×band SNR aggregate working surface + raw partition pointer; 61 carved from the 2011-2025 raw, 4 in the un-backfilled 2026 tail pending WS-4). Serves the 5 event papers. Both carved from the same /mnt/ursa raw; no fetching.
  • DSCOVR solar wind (Bz/speed) — 4 papers: bz-dst-lead-time, starlink-thermosphere-storm-pilot, skinwalker-ranch-seven-layers, solar-watch-april-2026. MEASURED. Spine UNSURE (single L1 spacecraft continuous feed; possibly a one-monitor spine).
  • SILSO sunspots — 3 papers: starlink-thermosphere-storm-pilot, wspr-solar-cycle-bug, skinwalker-ranch-seven-layers. MEASURED, NO-SPINE (single global daily index).
  • GOES X-ray flux — 3 papers: starlink-thermosphere-storm-pilot, skinwalker-ranch-seven-layers, solar-watch-april-2026. MEASURED. Spine UNSURE (satellite instrument feed).
  • NOAA space-weather Kp — 2 papers: sky-anomalies, skinwalker-ranch-seven-layers. MEASURED, UNSURE.
  • OpenSky + ADS-B (adsb.fi) aircraft — 2 papers: wspr-aircraft-detection, skinwalker-ranch-seven-layers. MEASURED, SPINE (aircraft/flight roster).
  • Safecast radiation — 1 paper: skinwalker-ranch-seven-layers. MEASURED, SPINE (device roster).
  • AMS fireballs — 0 shipped papers (corrected 2026-07-07). Earlier draft mislabeled skinwalker's bolide layer as AMS; skinwalker actually uses NASA CNEOS Fireballs (objective government-sensor bolides), which is already in the entry dex (cneos_fireballs). AMS is an inactive stub (0 rows, needs an API key, issue #94) and is used by no shipped paper. Not a campaign item; if ever wanted it's a new-source fetch, not a dex build.
  • SPC convective outlook — 1 paper: skinwalker-ranch-seven-layers. MODEL (forecast) → bucket 3.
  • open_meteo + open_meteo_aqi — 1 paper: skinwalker-ranch-seven-layers. MODEL, held-out → bucket 3.
  • era5_cloud — 1 paper: skinwalker-ranch-seven-layers. MODEL reanalysis, held-out → bucket 3.

Notes

  • Bucket 3 is nearly empty for shipped papers. The only model sources in use (SPC convective outlook, open_meteo, era5_cloud) all live in one paper — skinwalker-ranch-seven-layers — a kitchen-sink null baseline (~28 sources) where they are context layers, already held out of the measured-reality tests. So almost every shipped paper is either already dexed or dexable.
  • skinwalker is the outlier. It alone carries most of the undexed sources AND all three model sources. It is a baseline, not a single-source paper; repointing it is the hardest and least valuable move. Deprioritize / handle last.
  • The solar/space-weather undexed sources (DSCOVR solar wind, SILSO, GOES X-ray, Kp) co-occur in the same ~4 solar papers — a natural second batch after WSPR.
  • 3 compound landing articles have no single dedicated workspace (sky-anomalies, solar-watch-april-2026, reno-earthquake-swarm); inventoried from cited sources.
  • nasa_neo slug matched by identity to the neo/entry dex (CNEOS CAD + fireballs).
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