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- First Light for a Thermosphere Sensor Made of Falling Satellites June 9, 2026
Investigation · Space Weather · We pooled thousands of decaying Starlinks into one drag sensor and aimed it at a moderate geomagnetic storm. The fleet decay rate nudged the right way but cannot separate from its own day-to-day scatter. An honest null from a working instrument.
- UFO Reports Don't Cluster Around US Earthquakes Across 104 Years of Public Data May 30, 2026
Investigation · Cross-Match · 9,379 US M ≥ 4.5 earthquakes (1910–2014) against 71,008 NUFORC sightings. The folklore predicts clustering near epicenters; we observe 3 coincidences where 9.4 are expected by chance.
- Seven Public Sensor Layers Stay Quiet Across Ten Skinwalker Ranch Filming Days May 29, 2026
Investigation · Cross-Match · On the 10 days when crew tweets pin the filming calendar, no public sensor records a concurrent anomaly.
- The American Meteor Society Says Fireballs Have Surged. What do the Sensors Actually Say? May 26, 2026
Near-Earth Objects · AMS reported eyewitness fireball counts running 3.9σ above normal in early 2026. NASA's CNEOS sensor catalog (357 deduplicated events, 1998–2026) says no — and rejects the AMS-equivalent effect at p = 0.015 against the modern-sensor baseline.
- A M6.6 Hit Sanriku. No Foreshocks Came First. May 18, 2026
Seismology · Japan Trench, May 15, 2026. Zero M4+ events in the 30-day pre-window. Statistically independent of the M7.4 twenty-five days earlier.
- V4: Precursor Decouples from Cloud-to-Ground Lightning April 20, 2026
Meteorology · 9.6M GOES-16 GLM flashes at 4 spatial scales. V3 signal recovers at k_min = −270 min via SPC timestamps but vanishes at every GLM-triggered scale. QRN + cell-local D-layer: disfavored.
- V3: The Precursor Is Real. It Doesn't Know Outbreak Severity. April 20, 2026
Meteorology · Oklahoma 2024 joins Mayfield 2021 as a second clean replication. Outbreak-vs-dose Δd is not Bonferroni-significant. Precursor is general to any tornadic convection.
- Two Earthquakes. Same Spot. 48 Hours Apart. April 19, 2026
Seismology · M6.0 + M5.9 south of the Kermadec Islands, April 16-18. Bath's law rejected at p = 0.006. Statistically a doublet, not an aftershock sequence.
- V2: Replication on Historical Outbreaks — Mayfield Hits, 2011 Power-Limited April 19, 2026
Meteorology · Mayfield 2021 replicates the 40m tornado precursor at k_min = −270 min. Pooled Fisher p = 1.12 × 10⁻⁴. 2011-2013 events are null by measurement density, not by signal absence.
- Radio Waves Saw These Tornadoes Coming 2h 45min Early April 19, 2026
Meteorology · A 10-day CONUS WSPR study finds HF signal depression that begins 165 min before confirmed tornadoes, scales with D-layer physics, and survives a forecaster-lag control. N = 106 tornado events.
- Offshore Swarm Isn't Cascadia — It's on the Juan de Fuca Ridge April 16, 2026
Fact-Check · Seismology · 23 events off Washington — 400 km west of the subduction trench, on a different fault system entirely.
- Can WSPR Detect Commercial Aircraft? April 16, 2026
Research · Pre-Registered Null · We locked the methods, pulled 5.3M WSPR spots and 934K aircraft positions, and ran the test. Every bin had an aircraft. The control group was empty. Here's what a null result can still tell you.
- M5.7 Earthquake Swarm Strikes Near Reno April 13, 2026
Breaking · Seismology · 47 events in hours — Walker Lane seismic zone lights up with the strongest quake near Reno in decades.
- 10.94 Billion Spots, One Wrong Sign April 7, 2026
Research · Two complete solar cycles of WSPR data say the 10 m band gets worse at solar maximum. The textbooks aren't wrong — the metric is. Inside a clean selection-effect bug.
- A Comet Hit the Sun. Should You Worry? April 5, 2026
Solar Watch · G2 storm, M7.5 flare, 9 CMEs, and our first cosmic ray Forbush decrease — all in 3 days. We tracked it across 7 data streams. The comet CMEs missed Earth.
- What's Really in the Sky? April 4, 2026
Investigation · 80,000 UFO reports cross-referenced against fireballs, storms, and 10,000 Starlink satellites.